Too big tech: is Alphabet approaching a growth ceiling?
Aug 4, 2023
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Join Jan Piotrowski, The Economist's business editor, as he dissects Alphabet's growth challenges, exploring how market maturation and competition may limit its stratospheric returns. Sophie Pedder, the Paris bureau chief, reveals a surprising twist: despite social unrest, France’s economy is thriving, particularly in the luxury sector. Together, they navigate the intersections of innovation, economic resilience, and strategic investments, providing a deep dive into the future of tech and Europe’s unexpected vitality.
Tech giants like Alphabet face challenges in sustaining their growth due to the maturation of core businesses like digital advertising and the slowing overall growth rate of the industry, but there is potential for sustained high growth through computing and artificial intelligence disrupting various industries in the future.
Despite the negative perception of strikes and protests, France has shown surprising vitality and success with strong economic growth, impressive GDP growth, more companies in the global top 100, and advancements in the tech sector, indicating a change in attitude towards business and state interventionism.
Deep dives
Tech Giants' Growth Challenges
The Big Five tech giants - Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, and Microsoft - have enjoyed exceptional growth in the history of capitalism. However, sustaining this growth in the long term poses challenges. With core businesses like digital advertising becoming more mature, the cannibalization of non-digital advertising is more difficult. Additionally, the overall growth rate of the digital advertising industry is slowing down. While these tech giants are investing in AI tools and exploring new markets, moonshot projects have resulted in significant losses. The major opportunity for sustaining high growth lies in computing and artificial intelligence potentially disrupting various industries in the future.
The Surprising Vitality and Success of France
Despite the negative perception of strikes and protests dominating headlines in France, the country has shown surprising vitality and success. France has experienced strong economic growth compared to its European neighbors, boasting impressive GDP growth and more companies in the global top 100 than any other European country. Additionally, France has made progress in social welfare, with lower poverty rates and better care and nursery education programs. France's success can be attributed to factors such as the growth of luxury goods giants, advancements in the tech sector, and a change in attitude towards business and state interventionism.
The Unique Architectural Legacy of Sun Ray Kelly
Sun Ray Kelly, an eccentric and visionary architect, left a unique architectural legacy on the forested slopes of Washington state. He built extravagant and extraordinary houses, blending into nature by using materials found in the forest. With a deep affinity for wood, especially cedar, and a commitment to working with nature, Kelly's structures featured flowing designs, circular yurts, and sculptures made from cob, a mixture of mud, sand, straw, and water. His buildings aimed to evoke a sense of movement and the spirit of life. Despite his unconventional style, Kelly's designs attracted attention from eco-architects across America.
As the tech giant approaches its 25-year anniversary, there are questions of just how much more it can possibly grow. Investors are used to stratospheric returns. Is it time to manage expectations? Nested behind the appearance of social discontent in France is an economy that is actually thriving (10:51). And, a tribute to a true man of the woods (19:02).
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