Memorial Tournament Picks

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the action at Jack's Place.
-Going over top players on odds board -1 matchup -2 p2p -3 outrights (40/1, 75/1, 110/1) -Sleeper, 2 FRP, scoring -Best Bet

Will Doctor delivers a focused and stat-driven breakdown of the Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village, offering sharp PGA betting insights, critiques of tour policies, and precise player analysis. He opens with a recap of Week 21's 10-unit loss, missing on Ben Griffin’s win despite Griffin’s elite short game and putting. Griffin, a two-time winner this season, overcame poor driving stats at Colonial and held off Mati Schmidt and Bud Cawley. Doctor also critiques picks like JT Poston, who faltered due to big numbers, and others like Riley, Højgaard, and Rai, who failed to deliver.

Scottie Scheffler is highlighted as a dominant force at Muirfield, with podium finishes in his last three appearances, though Doctor avoids betting him at 3-1 due to putting issues and his third straight week competing. Rory McIlroy receives heavy criticism for skipping his third signature event of the year, including Memorial, without informing host Jack Nicklaus. Doctor dissects the PGA’s approach to field size, arguing it unfairly excludes players like Higgo and Phillips while excessively relying on sponsor exemptions for names like Fowler and Snedeker.

Muirfield Village is described as a long and punishing course with narrow fairways and small bentgrass greens that reward elite ball-striking and putting accuracy. Top betting lines are reviewed: Morikawa (16-1) is doubted due to form; Schauffele (18-1) lacks Sunday contention; Justin Thomas (25-1) and Patrick Cantlay (25-1) show concerning stats despite course fits.

Doctor recommends a matchup bet of Taylor Pendrith over Davis Thompson, citing Pendrith’s recent T5 and solid form. Key top finishes include Tony Finau Top 20 (+120) and Shane Lowry Top 10 (+250), with Finau’s ball-striking and putting trending positively. Three outright picks are revealed: Lowry (40-1), Novak (75-1), and Bud Cawley (110-1), each supported with course history and recent performance data. Cawley’s comeback from injury and recent top-5 finishes are especially praised.

Sleeper pick is Cawley to Top 10 (+550), and First Round Top 10s include Lowry (+275) and Novak (+400). Fantasy lineups include combinations of Scheffler, Lowry, Novak, Fowler, Cawley, and Graceman, with strategy adjusted for DraftKings and PGA Tour.com rules. Doctor projects a winning score of 10-under due to rain-softened conditions in Dublin, Ohio. The final best bet is Novak Top 20 (+175), emphasizing his current form and statistical edge.

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