Remarkable Retail Podcast

The Stampede to Value, Macy's Turnaround Traction, and Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi on the K-Shaped Economy

Dec 9, 2025
Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics, shares his insights on the K-shaped economy, where wealth disparities shape consumer behavior. He discusses how high-income households are thriving, while middle and lower-income consumers are struggling. Zandi warns of the impacts of tariffs on job creation and inflation, and analyzes the rising unemployment among younger workers due to AI advancements. He also sheds light on Macy's mixed performance and the concentration of retail growth among a few dominant players, hinting at potential recession risks.
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INSIGHT

Holiday E‑commerce And AI Traffic Signal Strength

  • Early Black Friday to Cyber Monday e-commerce showed stronger-than-trend growth, with BNPL share rising.
  • AI-influenced traffic is meaningful, accounting for a substantial portion of e-commerce sessions.
INSIGHT

Value Formats Grow, Profits Often Lag

  • Value formats continue to gain share as consumers trade down, but profits often lag.
  • Five Below stands out with very strong comps, signaling growth within the value segment.
INSIGHT

Macy's Turnaround Is Mixed, Watch Guidance

  • Macy's shows early signs of traction but remains a mixed turnaround with slim profits.
  • Bloomingdale's outperformance and credit-card profits matter, but guidance signals caution.
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