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Odd Lots

Get Ready For Another Shock to Housing Affordability

Jan 30, 2025
Lee Everett, Head of Research and Strategy at Cortland, sheds light on the troubling future of housing affordability. He discusses how rising interest rates have dramatically reduced new apartment development, leading to an impending supply crisis. Everett highlights the combined impact of labor shortages due to deportations and escalating insurance costs, all while rent prices have just begun to stabilize. With economic tensions mounting, a new shock to housing affordability could be on the horizon, affecting renters and buyers alike.
35:06

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The slowdown in the growth of rent prices may be temporary, as high demand coupled with declining housing supply could lead to future affordability shocks.
  • Federal spending cuts and labor shortages in construction are poised to worsen the challenges of affordable housing availability in the coming years.

Deep dives

The Current State of Rent Growth and Inflation

Rent prices in the U.S. have become a significant factor contributing to overall inflation, particularly as the government's measures for rent price growth have begun to moderate. Although rent continues to rise, the pace of its increase is slowing down, potentially approaching pre-COVID levels. Interestingly, while inflation has decreased, the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes have impacted housing development by making capital more expensive. This results in fewer new housing projects being initiated, which could create a supply-demand imbalance in the future.

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