Forward Guidance The Market Has Already Picked Its Winners for 2026 | Tony Greer
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Dec 31, 2025 
Tony Greer, a macro trader and founder of TG Macro, shares his insights on market trends. He predicts that metals may lead the charge in 2026, driven by macroeconomic changes. Greer discusses the potential for oil prices to rise and highlights the waning momentum of AI stocks. He also analyzes Bitcoin's frustrating price action and offers advice on managing risk in volatile markets. Expect key strategies for trading bubbles and insights into maintaining a balanced portfolio as 2026 approaches.
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Building A Conference From The Ground Up
- Tony Greer describes building his TG Macro conference after COVID delays and scaling it to Nashville with a dream speaker roster.
- He emphasizes the importance of in-person connections and learning from long-term market contacts.
Regime Change Shapes Market Leadership
- Tony argues the 2025 market leadership may 'rhyme' with the next few years, implying metals could remain dominant.
- He links political/regime change and policy (rate intentions) to persistent sector leadership.
Use Physical Metals As Your Base
- Do keep physical gold and silver as the bedrock of a precious-metals trade before trading miners.
- Do trade breakouts and wait for tactical opportunities rather than chasing tiny markets like palladium or platinum.