Logan Mohtashami: Powell’s remarks bode well for lower mortgage rates
Jul 16, 2024
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Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami discusses Powell's positive remarks on potential rate cuts, housing priorities under a second Trump administration, and the challenges of addressing housing supply to boost demand. The show explores the impact of government intervention in housing supply, the debate over GSEs and conservatorship, and the significance of keeping the GSEs in conservatorship during economic downturns.
Jerome Powell prioritizes labor data over inflation concerns, signaling positive shifts in labor market and mortgage spreads.
Mark Calabria advocates for production-side solutions to address housing supply issues, critiquing current affordability proposals.
Deep dives
Jerome Powell's Focus on Labor Data and Inflation
Jerome Powell's recent discussion highlighted the importance of labor market data over inflation concerns. He emphasized the global nature of inflation issues stemming from the pandemic but expressed satisfaction with the progress in managing inflation. The focus on labor data reflects Powell's primary concern and indicates positive shifts in the labor market and mortgage spreads. The discussion also noted past misjudgments on inflation transience following the COVID-19 recovery.
Mark Calabria's Housing Policy Perspectives
Mark Calabria's insights revolved around the housing policies under potential future administrations and the balance between housing demand and supply. He critiqued current affordability proposals for leaning more towards stimulating housing demand rather than addressing supply shortages. Calabria advocated for a greater emphasis on production-side solutions for long-term housing stability. He also touched on the challenge of boosting housing supply amid economic fluctuations.
Debates on Mortgage underwriting Standards and GSEs' Conservatorship
Discussions with Mark Calabria delved into critiques of mortgage underwriting standards and proposals for removing GSEs from conservatorship. Calabria's ideological stance influenced his views on underwriting standards and the necessity of transitioning GSEs from conservatorship. Evaluating the potential risks and benefits of privatizing lending practices and the impact on housing markets triggered contrasting opinions. An emphasis on historical performance and the impacts of political decisions underlined the ongoing debates surrounding housing policies and financial regulations.
On today’s episode, Editor in Chief Sarah Wheeler talks with Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami about Powell’s press conference on Monday and HousingWire's interview with Mark Calabria where he talked about housing priorities in a potential second Trump administration.
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