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Making Sense

Trading insights: Can US exceptionalism keep its shine?

Feb 14, 2025
Dive into the intriguing dynamics of U.S. equities as they contrast with global markets. Recent underperformance sparks discussions on potential buying opportunities. Delve into economic catalysts like tariffs and the impact of key tech companies. Explore the differing sentiments between retail and hedge fund investors in an ever-evolving market. The episode also sheds light on U.S. exceptionalism, contrasting it with European prospects while discussing strategic sector positioning for future growth.
13:29

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • The recent modest performance of U.S. equities, juxtaposed with stronger gains in European markets, raises questions about U.S. exceptionalism's sustainability.
  • Despite current underperformance, analysts suggest a buying opportunity in U.S. equities, driven by positive retail investor sentiments and potential economic stability.

Deep dives

Current Positioning of US Equities

US equities have experienced a notable rally, with the S&P 500 seeing increases of over 20% in 2023 and 2024. However, year-to-date performance has been modest, with only a 3% rise, while global markets, particularly in Europe, have seen stronger gains. Current positioning in US equities is described as above average but not extreme, influenced by mixed catalysts including an initial bullish impulse from reduced tariffs and subsequent bearish sentiments linked to the deep sea incident. Retail investor buying has provided significant support, even as hedge funds have become more risk-averse, suggesting a more neutral overall market environment.

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