Clear+Vivid with Alan Alda

Michael Shermer: Want to know the truth?

9 snips
Jan 27, 2026
Michael Shermer, science writer and founder of Skeptic Magazine, explores truth, reasoning, and misinformation. He discusses why truth feels under attack and defines truth as provisional, evidence-based assent. He shares tools like Bayesian thinking, steelmanning, and respectful conversation to navigate consensus, conspiracy spread, and changing minds.
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INSIGHT

Provisional Truths Still Guide Action

  • Truth can be provisional yet still actionable and meaningful in guiding decisions.
  • Michael Shermer argues that we should accept high-confidence scientific conclusions while remaining open to revision.
ADVICE

Crosscheck Claims Across Sources

  • Consult multiple, reliable sources and fact-checkers rather than a single outlet to assess contested claims.
  • Use aggregators like Ground News or dedicated fact-check sites to compare perspectives before deciding.
ADVICE

Start With Fallibilism And Probabilities

  • Use fallibilism: start by admitting you could be wrong to keep reasoning open.
  • Put probabilities on claims and, when possible, wager or quantify confidence to sharpen forecasts.
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