
Clear+Vivid with Alan Alda Michael Shermer: Want to know the truth?
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Jan 27, 2026 Michael Shermer, science writer and founder of Skeptic Magazine, explores truth, reasoning, and misinformation. He discusses why truth feels under attack and defines truth as provisional, evidence-based assent. He shares tools like Bayesian thinking, steelmanning, and respectful conversation to navigate consensus, conspiracy spread, and changing minds.
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Provisional Truths Still Guide Action
- Truth can be provisional yet still actionable and meaningful in guiding decisions.
- Michael Shermer argues that we should accept high-confidence scientific conclusions while remaining open to revision.
Crosscheck Claims Across Sources
- Consult multiple, reliable sources and fact-checkers rather than a single outlet to assess contested claims.
- Use aggregators like Ground News or dedicated fact-check sites to compare perspectives before deciding.
Start With Fallibilism And Probabilities
- Use fallibilism: start by admitting you could be wrong to keep reasoning open.
- Put probabilities on claims and, when possible, wager or quantify confidence to sharpen forecasts.














