Big Oil Pumps the Brakes on Its Dirty Asset Divestment
Sep 5, 2024
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David Doherty, the Head of Oil and Renewable Fuels Research at BloombergNEF, shares insights on the shifting landscape of oil asset divestment. He highlights the surprising $290 billion divestment by major oil companies since 2015, yet notes a recent slowdown. The discussion delves into how rising energy prices and public pressure for decarbonization are reshaping strategies. Doherty emphasizes that mere asset divestment won't ensure a greener future, urging a deeper look into investment practices and the importance of balancing financial returns with environmental accountability.
International oil companies are facing pressure to divest high-emission assets, yet actual emissions may not decrease due to transaction opacity.
Shifting investment priorities in oil firms emphasize shorter-return projects over traditional upstream assets amid fluctuating energy prices.
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The Complexity of Divestment in Oil and Gas
Divestment trends among oil and gas companies can be much more nuanced than merely selling off high-emission assets. Many companies are unloading more polluting assets but might not reduce overall emissions due to the lack of transparency surrounding the transactions. Additionally, fluctuations in commodity prices significantly influence divestment decisions, as high prices may deter companies from selling assets that are still generating substantial revenue. The trend towards divestment is not just about environmental concerns; it is often tied into broader strategic business goals.
Shifts in Investment Focus
Investment priorities for international oil companies (IOCs) are shifting, with a noticeable movement away from traditional upstream assets toward cleaner, shorter-return projects. The desire for high-return assets leads many companies to prioritize shorter life-cycle projects over long-term commitments such as deep-water drilling. As oil prices rise, the incentive for companies to hold onto profitable assets increases, which complicates the divestment landscape. Financial discipline is now a key strategy, with many companies focusing on higher return on investments while carefully considering their future in the increasingly competitive market.
The Evolution of Renewable Asset Management
Oil and gas companies are increasingly divesting from renewable energy assets, but this often involves farming down rather than outright selling. By selling equity stakes in these projects, companies seek to improve their return profiles while continuing to engage with renewable energy markets. The focus is shifting to cleaner fuels such as biofuels and hydrogen, which can yield higher returns and are more aligned with their core operations. This approach illustrates how traditional energy companies are navigating the energy transition while optimizing their investment strategies.
International oil companies have been divesting assets at a surprising rate. Between 2015 and 2023, nine of the world’s largest IOCs have sold a total of $290 billion of assets, with upstream oil assets accounting for half of the divestment deals. Yet this trend toward ditching dirty assets may now be changing, as divestment proceeds dropped 15% last year.
On today’s show, co-hosts Dana Perkins and Tom Rowlands-Rees are joined by David Doherty, BloombergNEF’s Head of Oil and Renewable Fuels Research, to discuss the key factors that inform these decisions. As they consider the investment and divestment strategies that major oil and gas companies are now pursuing, they also discuss how public and investor pressure to decarbonize is impacting the sector, how a spike in energy prices in 2022 changed the calculus, and why simply selling dirty assets won’t make for a cleaner world. This episode draws on BNEF research, including the note Oil and Gas Divestment Trends 2023: Divestment Slowed.
Complementary BNEF research on the trends driving the transition to a lower-carbon economy can be found at BNEF<GO> on the Bloomberg Terminal or on bnef.com