Best of the Spectator
Americano: Do Trump’s Republican rivals have any hope?
Jan 9, 2024
James Johnson, pollster and co-founder of JL Partners, joins Freddy Gray to discuss the upcoming Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire primary, and whether Trump's rivals have a chance. They also talk about the impact of Trump's trials and the viral word cloud used by both Biden and Trump to their advantage.
23:12
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Quick takeaways
- Donald Trump is expected to have a significant lead in the upcoming Iowa caucuses, potentially coming in second or third behind Nikki Haley.
- Polling in Iowa is challenging due to the unique caucus system, making it difficult to accurately predict voter preferences.
Deep dives
Iowa Caucuses and Trump's Lead
The latest polling in Iowa shows Donald Trump with a significant lead, ahead by about 30 points on average. Despite the effort put into Iowa by Rhonda Santis, it is expected that he will fall short and come second, possibly even third behind Nikki Haley. However, there is not much interest in Iowa, with many viewing it as a foregone conclusion due to Trump's large lead. While DeSantis may over-perform his polling, Trump is still expected to have the advantage going into New Hampshire.
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