Against Punditry

27 snips

Jan 21, 2026

Marko and Jacob tackle bias in geopolitical analysis, arguing for the importance of stripping away preconceived notions. They explore Trump’s tariff tactics and Canada’s shifting alliances with China. The duo emphasizes empathetic analysis and the necessity of understanding opposing viewpoints for robust arguments. They also discuss the relationship between physical fitness and cognitive clarity in decision-making. Ultimately, they challenge aspiring analysts to foster independence and humor in their communication.

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INSIGHT

Analysis Requires Detachment

Geopolitical analysis must try to remove nationalism and emotion to be useful.
Marko Papic argues analysts should treat analysis like medicine or law: objective and detached.

ADVICE

Write Down Your Beliefs First

Write down all your beliefs about a topic before researching it.
Jacob Shapiro then attacks his strongest convictions first and seeks data to support or refute them.

ADVICE

Make The Case For The Other Side

Use empathetic analysis: argue convincingly for the other side to cleanse bias.
Marko says inhabiting opponents' perspectives sharpens predictions and prevents cheerleading.

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