Gartner ThinkCast

The Disruptions That Will Reshape Everything by 2030

40 snips
Jan 27, 2026
Daryl Plummer, Distinguished VP Analyst and Gartner Fellow who leads research on future disruptions, previews major forces reshaping technology through 2030. He covers how AI and human behavior collide. He explains AI‑free trust and certification. He discusses AI sovereignty and geopolitical shifts. He explores AI agents and how adaptive materials could transform markets.
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ANECDOTE

Love, Machines, And A Quick Poll

  • Daryl Plummer uses a recurring poll about falling in love with a machine to gauge how people feel about AI's future.
  • The joke shows how blurred lines between humans and machines are already influencing attitudes toward AI.
INSIGHT

Cognitive Spheres Of Influence

  • Plummer frames disruptions as clashes between technology and human behavior called cognitive spheres of influence.
  • We must actively choose what human values and skills to preserve as technology reshapes habits and learning.
INSIGHT

A Logarithmic Disruption Scale

  • Gartner's disruption scale ranks changes from enhancing to revolutionizing using a logarithmic model.
  • This helps prioritize response by showing how impacts escalate qualitatively, not linearly.
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