Today in Focus Should we believe Putin’s war talk?
Sep 18, 2024
Dan Sabbagh, The Guardian's defence and security editor and an expert on the Ukraine conflict, discusses the alarming rhetoric from Vladimir Putin. He delves into how long-range missile talks have escalated tensions between Russia and NATO. Sabbagh explains the strategic dilemmas surrounding missile deployment and its impact on civilian safety. He also highlights the complex diplomatic negotiations involving U.S. and UK leaders, and how the Ukraine conflict intertwines with U.S. electoral politics, influencing candidates' stances and global alliances.
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Weapon Acquisition Pattern
- Ukraine repeatedly requests specific weapons or usage permissions from the US and Europe.
- After lobbying, they often receive approval, like with Leopard tanks and F-16 jets.
Ukraine's Missile Strategy
- Ukraine seeks permission to use long-range Storm Shadow/SCALP missiles inside Russia.
- This aims to address the imbalance of Russia freely striking Ukrainian cities while Ukraine cannot retaliate in kind.
Missile Impact and US Concerns
- Missiles differ from tanks or jets due to their extended range, enabling deep strikes.
- This alters the political and military dynamics, raising US concerns about escalation and requiring careful target selection by Ukraine.