Imagine This... If AGI’s a No-Show, What Comes Next? (First Aired: May 28, 2025)
Dec 24, 2025
Noah Broestl, Partner and Associate Director of Responsible AI at BCG, dives into the future of AI without the promise of AGI. He predicts a surge of specialized models that prioritize safety, efficiency, and transparency over mere accuracy. Noah discusses how businesses can leverage these narrow models tailored to their needs, emphasizing the importance of liability and compliance in a rapidly evolving landscape. He also explores the potential for luxury AI and the necessity for sustainability in model development. Prepare for a future where specialized AI prevails!
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AI Progress Without AGI
- Even without AGI, AI capabilities will grow significantly across narrow and general domains.
- Organizations must evaluate models on more than accuracy, including trust, safety, and integration with goals.
Cambrian Explosion Of Specialized Models
- Models will decentralize after inference-efficient breakthroughs, enabling many high-performing models on devices.
- Organizations will face tens of thousands of models and must evaluate fit, not just leaderboard rank.
Benchmarks Beyond Accuracy
- Accuracy benchmarks must improve and link to application-specific use cases with confidence intervals.
- New benchmarks will include safety, business-strategy alignment, and regulatory alignment.