Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the American Express and TGL Match 2. -Discussing top 6 on odds board at AMEX -3 matchups -1 t10 -2 outrights (60/1 & 66/1) -sleeper -FRL, scoring, 2 lineups, best bet -TGL Match 2 pick

1. Introduction by Will Doctor (0:14-0:30):
2. "The Golf Preview Podcast on Pregame’s Network. I'm your host, Will Doctor. Nice to have you with us as I bring you the sharpest picks..."

• Key Point: Will sets the tone by emphasizing precision in betting strategies and reflects an optimistic outlook despite prior losses.

1. Reflection on Poor Start to the Season (0:39-38:17):
2. "We are down 13 units through two weeks of the 2025 PGA Tour season in what has been an unacceptable start..."

• Analysis: A candid admission of struggles in early predictions, emphasizing accountability and intent to improve through research-backed picks.

1. Highlight on Nick Taylor's Recent Victory:
2. "Nick Taylor was the eventual champion... picking up PGA Tour win number five in a playoff."

• Significance: Taylor's playoff prowess is underlined, but concerns are raised about his ability to maintain momentum post-victory.

• Nick Dunlop:
• Defending champion of the American Express at age 21.
• Two-time PGA Tour winner, aiming to become the second youngest back-to-back titleholder.
• Strong recent performance at the Sony Open, finishing T-10.
• Insight: Dunlop is considered a strong pick due to his putting ability and course familiarity.
• Sam Burns:
• Displayed stellar putting performance historically at the American Express.
• Weakness: Recent struggles with iron play.
• Recommendation: Top-10 finish at +215 odds as a safer bet than outright victory.
• Justin Thomas and Patrick Cantlay:
• Both are highlighted for past consistency but criticized for poor putting performances that could hinder contention at the Amex.
• Sung J.M.:
• History of strong starts at the American Express, consistently finishing in the top 25.
• Struggles to maintain momentum across all four rounds, making him a less favorable pick for outright betting.
• Tom Kim:
• Recent inconsistency with missed cuts in 2 of 3 appearances at the Amex.
• Verdict: Avoid betting on Kim this week.

• TGL Match 2:
• Los Angeles Golf Club (Justin Rose, Colin Morikawa, Sahith Theegala) faces Jupiter Links Golf Club (Tiger Woods, Kevin Kisner, Max Homa).
• Prediction: Los Angeles Golf Club is expected to win due to the sharper form of its players. Kevin Kisner’s poor equipment choice and Max Homa’s putting issues weaken Jupiter Links’ prospects.
• Tournament Courses:
• The American Express is held across three player-friendly courses in Palm Springs, known for easy fairways and emphasis on putting and approach play.

1. Matchups:

• Nick Dunlop over Curt Kittiyama and Nick Taylor.
• Michael Thor B. Olson over Adam Svensson.

1. Outrights:

• Nick Dunlop (60:1) and Tom Hoagie (66:1) are recommended outright picks.

1. Special Picks:

• Sam Burns for a Top-10 finish (+215).
• Sung J.M. as the First Round Leader (+1100).

1. Sleeper Pick:

• Jackson Suber for a Top-20 finish (+450).

• Will Doctor (0:14-0:30): Introduces the show.
• Will Doctor (0:39-38:17): Provides extensive analysis, betting picks, and commentary on players and matchups.

Conclusion

This podcast transcript showcases a detailed breakdown of player performance trends, past tournament statistics, and betting strategies. Will Doctor's insights, supported by contextual player and team data, aim to rectify earlier losses and help listeners make informed decisions. Emphasis on Nick Dunlop as a rising star and the analytical critique of other competitors provides listeners with actionable betting options for both the American Express and TGL Match 2.

For more on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

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