The Truth of the Matter
A Rising Barometer for 2025
Jan 22, 2025
Paul B. Stares, an expert in conflict prevention and foreign policy, provides insights into the urgent findings of the 2025 Preventive Priorities Survey. He discusses rising geopolitical threats, including tensions in Gaza, Ukraine, and the South China Sea. Stares highlights overlooked global conflicts and humanitarian crises in Sudan and Ethiopia, urging for increased intervention. He also examines the complexities of U.S. foreign policy and its challenges in navigating peace amid seemingly contradictory actions.
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Quick takeaways
- The 2025 Preventive Priorities Survey highlights an alarming rise in global tensions, with five high-impact conflicts expected to challenge U.S. interests.
- A significant shift in migration perceptions indicates that tougher U.S. policies may exacerbate crises rather than alleviate problems in migrants' home countries.
Deep dives
Increased Global Anxiety
The Preventive Priority Survey highlights rising global anxiety concerning U.S. foreign policy scenarios expected in 2025. This year marks an unprecedented number of tier one concerns, with five classified as high likelihood and high impact. Key issues include the deterioration of conditions in Gaza, escalating conflict in the West Bank, heightened violence in Ukraine, the shadow war between Israel and Iran, and increased U.S. military presence at the Mexican border. The growing number of pressing scenarios reflects an overwhelming sense of urgency among experts regarding potential threats to U.S. interests.
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