Damon Linker, a political writer and editor known for his sharp insights on American politics, dives into Trump's unexpected revival as a formidable force. He discusses how Trump transformed from a laughingstock to a key influencer, tapping into overlooked voter segments. The conversation touches on the backlash against elites, the nuanced dynamics of immigration, and the implications of a potential second Trump term, revealing the complexities of modern political sentiment and the changing landscape of voter motivations.
Trump's recent political success stems from his strategic outreach to non-college-educated voters who feel marginalized by the mainstream political landscape.
The shift in conservative ideology reflects a growing preference for pragmatic foreign policy and addressing immigration issues as fundamental governance responsibilities.
Deep dives
Trump's Historic Comeback
Donald Trump's return to the presidency is regarded as one of the most significant political comebacks in American history. Despite past perceptions of him as unfit and lacking intelligence, he has demonstrated an ability to resonate with a particular segment of the electorate that feels neglected by traditional politics. This following primarily consists of non-college-educated voters who appreciated Trump for voicing their frustrations about contemporary issues. His strategy has involved energizing these groups, enabling his electoral victories, and making him a pivotal figure in the early 21st century.
Electoral Strategy and Campaign Discipline
While Trump's past campaigns may have appeared chaotic, this recent election showcases a more disciplined approach with a strategic and professional team. This team was effective in identifying and mobilizing voters from demographics who felt unheard, specifically targeting the white non-college-educated population who had previously felt disconnected from the Republican Party. They recognized that these individuals were seeking a voice that aligned with their values and concerns, which helped shift the electoral coalition towards Trump. By tapping into their sentiments, the campaign capitalized on deep-seated frustrations with the political status quo, which was ultimately validated in the election results.
Shifts in Political Ideologies
The political landscape has witnessed a notable shift, particularly regarding traditional conservative values and foreign policy perspectives. The election results suggest that the neoconservative approach that dominated Republican ideology after the Cold War is in decline, with many voters favoring a more pragmatic, realist view of foreign affairs. Trump's critique of the Iraq War resonated with voters who were disillusioned with perpetual foreign engagements and who now lean more towards isolationist views, particularly in the context of current international conflicts. This shift highlights a growing desire for a foreign policy that prioritizes national interests without the burdens of global interventionism.
The Immigration Debate
Immigration remains a contentious issue that significantly impacts voter sentiment and candidate platforms. Many voters express frustration over perceived government failures to secure borders and manage immigration effectively, recognizing it as a fundamental role of government. This sentiment has been exacerbated by recent immigration policies, prompting some to believe their concerns are dismissed as racist, rather than understood as legitimate governance issues. The discourse surrounding immigration highlights the need for a nuanced approach, balancing humanitarian considerations with the practicalities of ensure security and community interests.
Damon is a political writer with a must-read substack, Notes from the Middleground. He’s been the editor of First Things and a senior correspondent at The Week, and he’s the author of The Theocons and The Religious Test. Back when we were both at Newsweek / Daily Beast, he edited my essays, so we’ve been friends for a while. We also both belong to the camp of conflicted moderates — and look like doppelgängers. The poor guy gets mistaken for me sometimes.
Damon was on the Dishcast right after the 2022 midterms, so he’s back to discuss the results of this election. For two clips of our convo — if we should be more afraid of Trump this time around, and the effect of woke culture on men — head to our YouTube page.
Other topics: Trump going from an “absolute joke” to a world historical figure; his uncanny instincts; how he activated an ignored demographic in 2016; telling Jeb Bush that his brother didn’t keep us safe; W’s wars; neocons like John Podhoretz; Trump’s gains with Hispanic and black voters; the backlash against elites; South Park Conservatives; the end of Reagan Republicans; how Trump’s first win felt like a fluke; his smart team this time; Covid lockdowns and BLM; MeToo excesses and DEI; the immigration surge under Biden as a gift to Trump; liberals who see borders as immoral; the hideous talk about Springfield and migrant crime; the left’s “racism” slur; the Hispanic backlash over “Latinx”; legal immigrants opposed to illegals; the 1924 and 1965 laws; how asylum law takes sovereignty from citizens; the threat of Stephen Miller; deportation camps, violent protests, and martial law; how Dems could flatter Trump to tame him; Obama’s progressivism restrained by realism; Niebuhr; how skepticism over Ukraine is deemed “pro Putin”; how Ukraine didn’t move the electorate; the “fascism” debate; Harris and Trump both running ads on both sides of Israel/Gaza; the gaslighting over Biden’s decline; inflation and fuzzy memories of Trump’s economy; Harris courting Haley voters with Liz Cheney; her not-terrible but tepid run; “opportunity economy” and other blather; how her abortion strategy didn’t work; her cowardice with the press and new media; Trump’s success with podcasts; how he became a funny grandpa figure; barstool conservatives; his trans ads in the final stretch; and Vance as the future heir.
Browse the Dishcast archive for an episode you might enjoy (the first 102 are free in their entirety — subscribe to get everything else). Coming up: Anderson Cooper on grief, Reihan Salam on the evolution of the GOP, David Greenberg on his new bio of John Lewis, Christine Rosen on humanness in a digital world, and Mary Matalin on anything but politics. Please send any guest recs, dissents, and other comments to dish@andrewsullivan.com.
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