Today in Focus Is this the end of the Iranian regime?
45 snips
Jan 13, 2026 In this insightful discussion, Ellie Geranmayeh, a senior policy fellow specializing in Middle Eastern politics, analyzes the current turmoil in Iran. She explains how widespread economic collapse and a crumbling social contract have sparked unprecedented protests. The conversation highlights the regime’s violent crackdown and the external pressures influencing its decisions. Geranmayeh also delves into the potential ramifications of U.S. military action and contemplates the future of leadership with figures like Reza Pahlavi in the mix.
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
Personal Cost Of Protests
- Masa Paré describes sleeplessness and fear as her family protest in Iran while cut off by internet blackouts.
- She recalls losing her mother in earlier uprisings and says this time protesters want regime change, not reform.
Base Of Regime Support Is Eroding
- Ellie Geranmayeh explains the regime's social contract has frayed as bazaar merchants and the poor no longer feel served by the Islamic Republic.
- Economic mismanagement, corruption and sanctions have exhausted the state's ability to cushion protests.
Repression As A Signal Of Control
- The government shifted from conciliatory rhetoric to heavy repression, including internet blackouts and killings, to demonstrate control.
- Ellie links that escalation partly to fear of US military threats and the need to show domestic strength.