Hold Your Fire! What to Make of Trump’s Gaza Plan?
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Oct 5, 2025 Michael Hanna, a U.S. director at the International Crisis Group, reveals how Trump's Gaza plan formed amid regional pressures. Max Rodenbeck analyzes the deal's implications, highlighting its benefits for Israel while shifting Gaza's burdens globally. Amjad Iraqi shares urgent Palestinian reactions, stressing concerns over limited agency and the humanitarian fallout. They unpack key uncertainties, including security provisions and governance, and discuss the plan's reception among Israeli politicians and regional allies, all against the backdrop of ongoing conflict.
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Plan Born From Regional Pressure
- The Trump plan emerged from intensified regional pressure after Israel's Doha strike and growing diplomatic isolation of Israel.
- It fuses 'end the war' aims with 'day-after' governance plans but leaves many implementation questions unresolved.
Deal Favors Israel's Objectives
- The package largely satisfies Israel's war objectives and functions as an ultimatum to Hamas.
- It shifts the long-term cost and burden of Gaza onto the international community, benefiting Israel politically and financially.
Security Provisions Are Vagueness-Ridden
- Core security provisions—hostage release terms, Israeli withdrawal, weapon decommissioning, and international force makeup—are vague.
- The plan leaves huge implementation gaps that will require detailed negotiations to resolve.