Daniel Davis Deep Dive Oil, Drugs Venezuela Colombia /Lt Col Daniel Davis & Steve Jermy
Dec 12, 2025
Steve Jermy, a former senior naval officer and security analyst, shares insights from his recent Caribbean travels, focusing on the geopolitical implications of Venezuela and Colombia. He discusses Nicolás Maduro's peculiar public theatrics amidst escalating tensions with the U.S. and evaluates the plausibility of military action against Venezuela. Jermy also explores the nation's role in drug trafficking, the challenges of U.S.-backed regime change, and critiques on European strategic responses to Ukraine, highlighting the complexities of modern geopolitics.
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Oil Drives The Venezuela Pressure
- Venezuela is likely an oil-motivated geopolitical concern rather than a clearly justifiable military target.
- Military action there risks unifying Venezuelans behind Maduro and lacks a clear exit strategy.
No Clear Military Objective
- Any U.S. military action in Venezuela would face unclear objectives and likely fail Weinberger's tests.
- Lack of a coherent purpose and exit strategy makes significant success unlikely.
Don't Attack Energy Infrastructure
- Avoid striking Venezuela's energy infrastructure because that would be counterproductive.
- Target only legitimate military objectives if action is taken to limit political fallout.
