On The Market

189: The Fed’s Plan “Backfired,” Now They’re Scrambling w/Logan Mohtashami

Feb 12, 2024
Financial expert and commentator Logan Mohtashami warns that the Fed's high interest rates are causing a housing market stalemate, making homebuying unaffordable despite rising wages. He discusses the Fed's outdated mindset and the need for adjustments. Mohtashami emphasizes the importance of analyzing individual cities and personal variables when investing in real estate. The impact of Fed rates on construction loans, rental rates, and the resilience of single-family rents are also explored.
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INSIGHT

Labor Market Normalization

  • The current labor market slowdown isn't a sign of weakness.
  • It's a return to pre-COVID normalcy after a period of inflated growth.
INSIGHT

Key Labor Market Metrics

  • The labor force participation rate can be misleading.
  • Focus on jobless claims, quit percentages, and hires for accurate insights.
INSIGHT

Recession Indicators and Fed Risk

  • Residential construction worker job losses precede recessions.
  • The Fed's overtightening and focus on the labor market are risky.
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