Geopolitics Decanted by Silverado Putin's Nuclear Meltdown
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Nov 26, 2024 Join expert Jeffrey Lewis, a professor and director at the James Martin Center for Nonproliferation Studies, as he delves into the complexities of nuclear deterrence. He discusses Putin's diminishing nuclear blackmail tactics and the implications of Russia's new nuclear doctrine for global stability. Lewis also unpacks lessons from the Ukraine conflict and critiques the recent resurgence of Iran's nuclear ambitions. Additionally, he explores U.S. nuclear needs and the growing Chinese nuclear threat, illuminating vital geopolitical dynamics.
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Russia's Nuclear Doctrine Changes
- Russia's updated nuclear doctrine reflects frustration, not necessarily a policy shift.
- Some declared changes were likely pre-existing secret policies now made explicit.
Putin's Nuclear Deterrence Paradox
- Putin's nuclear rhetoric might be counterproductive, decreasing his credibility.
- He's violating his declared red lines without nuclear response, making future threats less believable.
Nuclear Deterrence Simplicity
- Nuclear deterrence may be simpler than often assumed.
- It may primarily deter strategic nuclear strikes, not lesser aggressions.
