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Why long-term U.S. stock market outperformance could be because it has avoided major catastrophes. Does an over-reliance on historical U.S. stock returns when modeling retirement outcomes lead to spending rates that are too high?
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Show Notes
Survivorship Bias—Matt Rickard
The Financial History of Emerging Markets: New Indices by Bryan Taylor—SSRN
The (Time-Varying) Importance of Disaster Risk by Ivo Welch—Financial Analyst Journal
The 2.7% Rule for Retirement Spending by Ben Felix—YouTube
Related Episodes
250: Investing Rule One: Avoid Ruin
326: The New Math of Retirement Spending and Investing
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