"We often give building a house as an example of something in the complicated sphere. But then we talked in recent episodes about the nightmare build of the Sydney Opera House – that was complex, but people were treating it like it was complicated. What's the difference? What makes one complicated and one complex? Is it a sliding scale from one to the other? How do you know which realm you're in?"

This broad question comes up a lot when people encounter complexity.

Hello again, Cynefin
The phase shift from complicated to complex
You're not "in" any domain: instead, you decompose a project or situation into smaller chunks, distribute those chunks into domains, and then you can use applicable methods
Then your job is to move those chunks from one domain to another – like constraining something complex and unpredictable so you can make it more predictable for you
Estimating Complexity by Liz Keogh: have you done this before?
Light switches vs electricity substations vs energy markets vs power failures.
Fun with etymology
"An aeroplane is complicated; a mayonnaise is complex"
The role of connectedness
Global warming and a social ice age
Many folks are intuitively good at handling complexity without knowing all the words and that's OK
Processes and procedures to make things less unpredictable ... until they stop working
Methods to achieve the liminal complex to complicated phase shift
A Simon Wardley example of waste in an organisation
The surface layer of a thing is not necessarily everything that thing does
Boeing and the slip over the cliff from Clear to Chaos
Chesterton's aeroplane seat
Seeds vs Soil
The liminal complicated zone where experts disagree and people have Opinions.
If there's disagreement about an element of a project, decompose it until the disagreement goes away
Is there always a level of decomposition where you stop disagreeing?
Football example ...
Jefferson Fisher's courtroom example ...
The move into Aporia and the EU Field Guide for Managing Complexity

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