The Daily ‘Send Her Back’: White Voters and Trump’s Path to Re-election
Jul 24, 2019
Nate Cohn, an election and demographics reporter for The Upshot at The New York Times, discusses Trump's complex path to re-election in 2020 despite low approval ratings. He highlights the critical role of the Electoral College and key battleground states like Wisconsin. The conversation dives into strategies needed to appeal to both white working-class and educated voters, and the lingering impact of race and culture on current voter dynamics. Cohn also reflects on the challenges Democrats face in reclaiming lost support.
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Trump's Electoral College Advantage
- Trump is better positioned for re-election than national polls suggest due to strength in battleground states.
- He could win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote by a larger margin than in 2016.
Importance of the Rust Belt
- Trump's approval rating is relatively high in Rust Belt states, crucial for Democrats.
- The Sun Belt hasn't emerged as a strong alternative for Democrats.
Wisconsin Voters
- Wisconsin voters, largely white and working-class, are key to the election outcome.
- These demographics favor Trump as they make up half of Wisconsin's electorate.