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Mark Cummins: Investing for AGI

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Mar 24, 2025
Mark Cummins, an angel investor and writer of the Educating Silicon blog, shares remarkable insights on investing in artificial general intelligence (AGI). He discusses the economic implications of AGI, including the competitive dynamics between major players like Microsoft and OpenAI. The conversation dives into the intricacies of AI learning through feedback loops and the challenges of obtaining real-world data. Cummins also reflects on how technological advancements will reshape the job market and investment strategies, urging listeners to prepare for a rapidly evolving landscape.
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ANECDOTE

Mark's Career Path Into AI Investing

  • Mark began as a PhD in computer vision at Oxford, then founded P-Link and sold it to Google in 2010.
  • He later sold another startup to Google and now invests in companies like Canva while writing the Educating Silicon blog.
INSIGHT

Four Distinct AI Futures

  • Mark outlines four AI futures: damp squib, iPhone-like change, Jetsons world, and takeoff singularity.
  • He assigns substantive economic and societal effects to each scenario to guide thinking.
ADVICE

Prefer Broad Tech Exposure

  • In a modest AI-improvement scenario, prefer broad tech exposure like owning the index or big tech stocks.
  • Also expect vertical, scaffolded AI apps in specific industries rather than one universal assistant.
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