

How to predict the future | Book Insights on The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver
Feb 15, 2023
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Introduction
00:00 • 4min
The Secret to a Successful Political Prediction
04:04 • 2min
The Five Aspects of Better Prediction
05:55 • 2min
How to Make Better Forecasts
07:48 • 1min
The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver
09:17 • 2min
The Importance of Probability Judging
11:32 • 2min
The Power of Pecoda
13:29 • 2min
The Fox of the Ancient Greek Fable
15:18 • 2min
The Bottom-Up Approach to Prediction
16:55 • 2min
The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver
19:10 • 2min
The Signal and the Noise
20:53 • 2min
The Signal and the Noise: How Prediction Breaks Down
23:21 • 2min
The Complexity of Climate Change Predictions
24:56 • 2min
The Uncertainty of Climate Change Forecasting
27:02 • 2min
The Power of Aggregation in Forecasting
29:00 • 2min
The Signal and the Noise by Nate Silver
30:31 • 3min