Kenneth Rogoff, a renowned economist and co-author of "This Time Is Different," delves into the challenges facing the global economy amidst rising tariffs and geopolitical tensions. He analyzes Trump's tariff policies and their effects on the US dollar's future. Rogoff discusses inflation's potential resurgence and shares his chess-player's view on trade negotiations. Additionally, he offers contrarian insights into China's growth and the impact of AI on economic dynamics, making for a captivating conversation about our financial landscape.
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insights INSIGHT
Global Economy Faces 1970s-like Chaos
The global economy is facing chaos due to restructuring of globalization and geopolitical tensions.
Kenneth Rogoff compares current times to the 1970s and Trump's policies to Nixon's.
insights INSIGHT
Inflation Is Political Economy Issue
Inflation was seen as controlled due to central bank policies and globalization.
Rogoff warns it has never been dead, only in remission, and political economy influences inflation heavily.
volunteer_activism ADVICE
Preserve Central Bank Independence
Maintain central bank independence to control inflation effectively.
Undermining this independence risks recurring inflation and economic instability.
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This book provides a panoramic view of financial crises from medieval times to the modern era, highlighting patterns of government defaults, banking panics, and inflationary spikes. It argues that despite technological advancements and institutional changes, financial crises follow similar patterns due to excessive debt accumulation and systemic risks.
We've curated a special 10-minute version of the podcast for those in a hurry.
Here you can listen to the full episode: https://podcasts.apple.com/no/podcast/kenneth-rogoff-tariff-impacts-the-dollars-future/id1614211565?i=1000704545192&l=nb
What challenges lie ahead for the global economy in an era of rising tariffs and geopolitical tension? In this episode, Nicolai Tangen speaks with Kenneth Rogoff, renowned economist and co-author of the seminal book "This Time Is Different," about the shifting economic landscape. They discuss the potential impacts of Trump's tariff policies, the future of US dollar dominance, and why inflation might make an unexpected comeback. Kenneth shares his chess-player's perspective on navigating trade negotiations and offers contrarian views on China's growth trajectory and technological disruption. Tune in for a thought-provoking discussion on our financial future!
In Good Company is hosted by Nicolai Tangen, CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management. New full episodes every Wednesday, and don't miss our Highlight episodes every Friday.
The production team for this episode includes Isabelle Karlsson and PLAN-B's Niklas Figenschau Johansen, Sebastian Langvik-Hansen and Pål Huuse. Background research was conducted by Torgeir Rimstad.