

Predicting everything
10 snips Sep 26, 2024
Join science writer Tom Chivers as he discusses his book 'Everything is Predictable,' revealing how statistics shape our daily lives. Professor Tara Spires-Jones sheds light on the complexities of developing Alzheimer’s drugs and the recent approval of lecanemab, despite regulatory hurdles. Meanwhile, Professor Sean Tweedy explains the innovative classification system ensuring a level playing field at the Paralympics, showcasing how technology and AI enhance fairness in sports. A blend of science, ethics, and groundbreaking research awaits!
AI Snips
Chapters
Books
Transcript
Episode notes
Book Prize Spite
- Tom Chivers's book, Everything is Predictable, was shortlisted for a Royal Society science book prize.
- He jokingly attributes his motivation partly to professional spite, aiming to surpass his co-host's prior nomination.
Bayes' Theorem
- Bayes' theorem is the mathematics of prediction, explaining how to update beliefs with new information.
- It underlies how we understand the world and make decisions.
Pregnancy Test Example
- The pregnancy test example illustrates how prior knowledge influences probability.
- A positive test doesn't confirm pregnancy in a man due to low prior probability.