Kurt Campbell, Chairman of The Asia Group, and Rush Doshi, Director of the China Strategy Initiative at CFR, dive into the implications of China's rise as a global superpower. They discuss China's dominance in technology, naval capabilities, and industrial strength, painting a picture of a new geopolitical landscape. The duo also highlights the urgency for the U.S. to reassess its strategies amidst China's rapid advancements, exploring the potential for a Chinese century versus American resurgence. Their insights reveal a complex interplay of competition, cooperation, and innovation.
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insights INSIGHT
China's Manufacturing Dominance
China dominates production in critical sectors like electric vehicles, batteries, and solar panels at a scale far exceeding the U.S.
This manufacturing and technological scale gives China significant geopolitical and economic leverage in the 21st century.
insights INSIGHT
The Decisive Decade
The 2020s are critical because the U.S. risks falling behind China technologically, economically, and militarily if it doesn't act decisively.
The outcome of this decade could shape global power balance for the entire 21st century.
insights INSIGHT
Stakes of U.S.-China Rivalry
U.S. interests involve preserving technological leadership and economic independence from China.
Military defeat by China would threaten Asia's prosperity and global stability, especially over Taiwan.
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Rush Doshi's "The Long Game" meticulously examines China's grand strategy since the end of the Cold War. Drawing from extensive primary source material, including party documents and memoirs, Doshi unveils China's long-term ambitions. The book details China's strategic phases: blunting, building, and expansion, highlighting shifts in approach based on perceived power dynamics with the US. Doshi's analysis provides crucial insights into China's intentions and the implications for US policy. The book's comprehensive research and clear presentation make it a valuable resource for understanding the complexities of US-China relations.
The Expansion of England
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Sir John Seeley
In the last few weeks, for the first time in my life, I’ve seriously thought about the 21st century not being another American century.
A recent essay in the journal Foreign Affairs by Rush Doshi and Kurt Campbell put things as starkly as I’ve ever seen. Some people are still stuck in a mode of thinking about China as being a place that just makes things of little value and significance. But Made in China means something different now. Technologically, China dominates everything from electric vehicles to fourth-generation nuclear reactors. Militarily, it features the world’s largest navy. Its shipbuilding capacity is 200 times as large as America’s. In a world built of cement and steel, China makes 20 times more cement and 13 times more steel than the U.S. In a world whose future will be full of electric vehicles, batteries, drones, and solar power, China makes two-thirds of the world’s EVs, three-quarters of its electric batteries, 80 percent of consumer drones, and 90 percent of solar panels. In a world where wars are won by the largest militaries, consider that China’s navy will be 50 percent larger than the U.S. Navy by the end of the decade.
Today's guests are Kurt Campbell and Rush Doshi. Both men served on the Biden National Security Council. Campbell is the chairman and cofounder of The Asia Group. Doshi is director of the China Strategy Initiative at the Council on Foreign Relations and an assistant professor at Georgetown University.
If you have questions, observations, or ideas for future episodes, email us at PlainEnglish@Spotify.com.
Plain English with Derek Thompson 
