Goldman Sachs Exchanges
Are inflation fears overblown? The outlook for inflation, US growth, and long-term rates
Apr 16, 2024
Goldman Sachs Research’s US Chief Economist David Mericle discusses why inflation fears are exaggerated and the positive outlook for US economic growth. Topics include factors behind inflation rates, confidence in economic growth forecasts, financial conditions, Fed policy, and evolving views on interest rates.
22:01
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Quick takeaways
- Worries of overheating inflation are unwarranted, US economic growth outlook remains strong.
- Labor market dynamics show no significant tightening, leading to a balanced economy and manageable inflation path.
Deep dives
Inflation and Economic Outlook
The podcast discusses the unexpected high inflation rates seen this year and how they influence the US economy. Despite the high inflation data, there are no signs of overheating or sustained inflation problems. Factors like labor market conditions, wage growth, and inflation expectations are not indicating worrisome trends that were concerns in 2022. The analysis suggests a more manageable path downwards towards 2% inflation.
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