Ask Haviv Anything Episode 20: Regime change in Iran? What the 1979 revolution can teach us.
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Jun 16, 2025 The ongoing conflict with Iran escalates as Israel intensifies military strategies against the IRGC and its nuclear ambitions. Questions loom about whether Israel can achieve regime change alone. Delving into the 1979 Iranian Revolution reveals how the initial uprising was twisted into theocratic control. The discussion highlights the Iranian regime's resilience and the cultural complexities that shape the nation. Amidst rising secularization, citizens grapple with oppression while yearning for change.
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Personal War Experience
- Haviv Rettig Gur describes sleepless nights with missile sirens and dangers near his home in Israel.
- Intercepted missiles cause lethal damage even from falling debris, illustrating war's real human risks.
Israel's Strategic Targeting Limitations
- Israel aims to destroy Iran's nuclear program but lacks capability against deeply buried sites like Fordo.
- Israeli strikes also target Iran's Revolutionary Guard economic and military infrastructure, aiming to weaken regime power.
Regime Change Talk as Strategic Tool
- Israel talks of regime change to mobilize Iranian factions that might oppose the regime.
- This rhetoric also terrifies Iran's leadership, potentially pushing them toward negotiations.