Motley Fool Money

Morgan Housel on Market History and Wild Minds

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Jul 28, 2024
Morgan Housel, best-selling author of "The Psychology of Money," shares his insights on investing and human behavior. He discusses why even professional money managers often fall short and the crucial interplay between success and luck. Housel emphasizes a strategy of saving like a pessimist while investing like an optimist. He also highlights the value of early losses in investing and critiques the limitations of spreadsheets in financial planning, bringing a thought-provoking blend of psychology and economics to the conversation.
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INSIGHT

Valuations and Stories

  • Every stock market valuation combines current data with a story about the future.
  • Focus on knowable factors like business quality, not unpredictable future moods.
ANECDOTE

Benjamin Graham's Adaptability

  • Benjamin Graham, Buffett's mentor, updated his investing formulas in each edition of his book.
  • He adapted to changing market conditions, even declaring his core strategies obsolete.
INSIGHT

Skill vs. Luck

  • It's difficult to determine the balance between skill and luck in success stories.
  • Focus on emulating timeless principles rather than specific market conditions.
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