Plain English with Derek Thompson How Putin's War Will End
Feb 25, 2022
Paul Poast, an associate professor of political science at the University of Chicago, dives into the complex outcomes of the Ukraine conflict. They discuss scenarios from potential regime change to the risk of a disastrous quagmire. Poast emphasizes Putin's imperial ambitions and the challenges they pose for U.S. foreign policy. The conversation touches on the impact of military accomplishments on political goals, raising important questions about the cascading effects of the war both regionally and globally.
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Five Scenarios for War's End
- This episode explores five potential outcomes of the war in Ukraine, ranging from quagmire to World War III.
- Professor Paul Poast, an expert in war and foreign policy, discusses these scenarios with Derek Thompson.
Quagmire Scenario
- The first scenario involves a quagmire for Russia, similar to the US experience in Iraq.
- Factors like protests, economic struggles, and strong Ukrainian resistance contribute to this possibility.
Foreign-Imposed Regime Change
- The second scenario involves a swift regime change where Russia replaces the Ukrainian government with a pro-Russian one.
- This resembles a successful version of the US invasion of Iraq, with limited aims.
