One Decision In Brief: What is Trump's Endgame in Venezuela?
Nov 18, 2025
In this discussion, Sir Ben Wallace, former UK Defence Secretary and international affairs expert, dives into Trump's volatile stance on Venezuela. He analyzes domestic motives behind US policies, such as combatting drug smuggling and illegal migration. The conversation reveals alarming insights into how Colombian and Venezuelan cartels are adopting drone warfare techniques learned in Ukraine. Wallace also debates the strategic implications of potential US military action and Trump’s controversial political maneuvers, including a possible Nobel Peace Prize.
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Domestic Politics Drive Venezuela Focus
- Donald Trump focuses on domestic politics and money when selecting foreign targets like Venezuela.
- Venezuela is targeted because of alleged drug smuggling, migration, US energy interests, and pressure on Cuba.
Ukraine As A Training Ground For Cartels
- Cartels send Venezuelan and Colombian operatives to learn drone tactics in Ukraine before returning to the Americas.
- That training raises the capability of criminal groups to strike aircraft and infrastructure with cheap drones.
Targeted Actions Over Full Invasion
- Occupying Venezuelan refineries could pressure Maduro and hurt Cuba's energy supply.
- The US may opt for targeted actions like seizing refineries rather than a full-scale invasion.