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The Oracle by Polymarket Podcast

đź”® PODCAST: China Is Coming For Taiwan

Apr 4, 2025
01:27:58

Dmitri Alperovitch is the founder of cybersecurity firm Crowdstrike, Chairman of geopolitical think tank Silverado Policy Accelerator, and the author of World on the Brink: How America Can Beat China in the Race for the Twenty-First Century.

In the forecasting community, Dmitri is legendary for his call of Russia's invasion of Ukraine two months before it happened.

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(04:30) How easy is it to hack Signal?

(10:00) Ukraine & Trump's transactional foreign policy

(26:00) How Dmitry Predicted the Russian invasion

(27:36) Ukraine Russia ceasefire predictions

(33:30) Will Trump pull out of NATO?

(32:50) Taiwan's strategic importance

(40:10) What happens if China gets Taiwan?

(43:01) Indicators of a possible Taiwan invasion

(48:30) The Taiwan blockade scenario

(53:20) Will Trump defend Taiwan?

(56:30) Does Deep Seek mean chip controls backfired?

(1:06:10) China, AI, and Biotech

(1:11:20) AI lab espionage

(1:15:00) Middle East and Israel-Saudi normalization?

(1:18:00) The Red Sea conflict

(1:19:02) North Korea deal pt. 2?

(1:24:42) Are Iran, China, Russia, and North Korea an "axis"?

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