Neil Howe, a renowned demographer and historian, dives into the cyclical patterns of societal change with a focus on America’s current chaotic Fourth Turning. He discusses the rise of nationalism and its implications for international relations, alongside the challenges of governance in a polarized political climate. Howe emphasizes the potential for transformative change stemming from disruption, examining youth-led movements and the historical context of leadership during crises. Tune in for insights on investment strategies amid economic uncertainty and the emerging risks from geopolitical tensions.
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insights INSIGHT
Global Scale of Fourth Turning
Fourth Turning upheaval is a global phenomenon affecting many countries simultaneously.
The decline of globalization has been accelerating since the Global Financial Crisis in 2008.
insights INSIGHT
Collectivism in Fourth Turnings Rises
Fourth Turnings involve a shift from individualism to greater top-down authority and civic institutions.
Rising generations tend to believe the system must save them, increasing demand for government action.
insights INSIGHT
Policy Contradictions Challenge Economy
Trump's policies contain contradictions, such as promoting no trade deficit while encouraging foreign investment.
Reducing trade flows conflicts with sustaining capital inflows needed to finance deficits and investment.
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