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Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

Neil Howe: The Fourth Turning Is Now Raging...And It's Gone Global

May 6, 2025
Neil Howe, a renowned demographer and historian, dives into the cyclical patterns of societal change with a focus on America’s current chaotic Fourth Turning. He discusses the rise of nationalism and its implications for international relations, alongside the challenges of governance in a polarized political climate. Howe emphasizes the potential for transformative change stemming from disruption, examining youth-led movements and the historical context of leadership during crises. Tune in for insights on investment strategies amid economic uncertainty and the emerging risks from geopolitical tensions.
01:11:47

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Neil Howe identifies the current societal upheaval as part of a Fourth Turning, marked by the collapse of the existing order.
  • The global shift towards nationalism, highlighted by populist leaders, signals a retreat from globalization in favor of domestic interests.

Deep dives

Understanding Fourth Turnings

Civilizations experience predictable cycles of boom, bust, and renewal, termed 'fourth turnings' by demographer Neil Howe. He suggests that the United States is presently in a fourth turning, characterized by societal upheaval and the collapse of the status quo. The current political landscape reflects this transformation, with disruptive leadership seeking radical changes in domestic and international policies. Howe’s analysis emphasizes that such chaotic transitions often pave the way for new societal orders and structures.

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