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The podcast discusses how opposing viewpoints are often portrayed as having equal validity, even when one viewpoint is supported by overwhelming evidence and the other is represented by just a single expert. This raises questions about the need to shut down one side of the debate. The example of the Merchants of Doubt book, which explores issues such as tobacco smoke and global warming, is used to highlight the importance of distinguishing between good and bad science, and how media manipulation and misinformation can influence public opinion.
The episode emphasizes the danger of focusing on doubt and uncertainty rather than acknowledging the strong scientific evidence. It is argued that this approach can hinder public understanding and lead to misguided policy decisions. The issue of strategic defense initiative (SDI) is used as an example, where doubts about the effectiveness of the system were used as a basis for casting doubt on its feasibility, rather than considering the potential catastrophic consequences that could result from an imperfect defense against nuclear weapons.
The podcast episode delves into the misleading nature of equating multiple causes with equal importance in public debates. This is exemplified through the discussion of CFCs and the ozone layer depletion. Skeptics attempted to dismiss the concerns about CFCs by pointing out various other causes of skin cancer, rather than acknowledging the significant contribution of CFCs to the ozone layer depletion. The episode emphasizes the importance of recognizing the weight of evidence and avoiding the tendency to assign equal significance to multiple factors when discussing complex issues.
The podcast explores the challenge of effectively communicating complex scientific issues to a wider audience, and highlights the disparities between scientific perspectives and public understanding. Scientists' focus on uncertainty and the need for further research is contrasted with media's simplification of scientific findings, which can distort public understanding. The episode emphasizes the importance of acknowledging the limitations of scientific knowledge while simultaneously ensuring that the public receives accurate and comprehensive information to inform policy decisions and public discourse.
It is important for society to have a better understanding of what science truly is, how to identify real science, and how to distinguish it from misinformation and pseudoscience. This is crucial because real science provides factual and evidence-based knowledge that can help humanity make informed decisions and address pressing issues.
The tobacco industry has utilized tactics to spread misinformation and challenge scientific findings about the harmful effects of smoking. These tactics include creating doubt around the link between smoking and health issues and targeting key individuals or institutions to discredit their work. Such misinformation and manipulation have long-term consequences for public health and require awareness and regulation to counteract.
Addressing climate change requires acknowledging the urgency of the issue, overcoming skepticism, and taking collective action. However, there are still those who perpetuate doubt about climate change, even though there is a scientific consensus on its existence and human contribution. It is essential to understand the significance of climate change and work towards solutions that prioritize sustainability and reduce carbon emissions.
Technology plays a significant role in solving environmental challenges, even though it may not directly solve them. For example, the development of electric cars, clean energy sources, and advancements in environmental efficiency contribute to mitigating environmental harm. Technological innovations have the potential to revolutionize industries and lead to more sustainable practices, encouraging a shift towards a more environmentally conscious society.
“If we read an article in the newspaper presenting two opposing viewpoints, we assume both have validity, and we think it would be wrong to shut one side down. But often one side is represented only by a single ‘expert’.”
In this episode of Made You Think, Neil and I discuss Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming, by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway. In this book, Oreskes and Cornway talk about media and science, and scientific consensus that became controversial in the public eye — from the SDI to tobacco to global warming.
“Rome may not be burning, but Greenland is melting, and we are still fiddling. We all need a better understanding of what science really is, how to recognize real science when we see it, and how to separate it from the garbage.”
We cover a wide range of topics, including:
And much more. Please enjoy, and be sure to grab a copy of Merchants of Doubts by Naomi Oreskes and Erik M. Conway!
Links from the Episode Mentioned in the show0:44 — Science and media. Topics that have become controversial in the public sphere, through media, that weren’t so within the scientific community; tobacco, the sugar industry, pesticides, etc.
03:58 — The sugar industry and its history of media deception; people’s perceptions on sugar, then and now. The industry’s attempts of bettering their images as sugar is more and more seen as unhealthy.
07:21 — Sugar and artificial sugar: its effects on your body and microbiota. The inexistent proofs that help losing weight.
09:16 — What about exercise? The food industries’ attempts to shift responsibility for health and fitness into “lack of exercise”, overblowing the importance of exercising.
11:05 — Two issues that are not necessarily separated by the book: on one hand, people should be better informed of the risks of their behaviors, like eating sugar, or drinking. On the other hand, should they not be allowed to engage in certain behaviors? Or simply have awareness of the risks if they do engage? Advocating for control, instead of banning, like the taxing on the tobacco industry.
13:15 — The public perception of tobacco as incredibly dangerous, and different perspectives in different countries.
15:21 — The conclusion of the book helps understands the author’s overall thesis. Many people who fought back against restrictions to industries had been Cold War veterans, looking to protect free market. There are certain areas in which free market doesn’t work, like air quality.
17:47 — Regulation is the mother of innovation: they force people to create new solutions, often starting from the beginning.
20:05 — Surprisingly, Hitler banned cigarettes once it was known they were lethal. He had various issues with what he considered “dirty” or “unclean”, which links back to his view of the people he persecuted.
22:35 — All the Nazi research regarding smoke got discredit following their defeat, since no one wanted to use nazist research. But were there such qualms about other research, like rocket science? Is it ethic at all to use research created unethically?
24:06 — Likewise, many studies for controversial topics just can’t be conducted for ethical reasons, or at times there’s too many variables. Epidemiology is useful in this case; though correlation doesn’t necessarily means causation.
25:55 — Climate change, and how its many causes often get simplified to just one problem. And even if we’re wrong about its causes, isn’t it too dangerous to ignore the chance human intervention is responsible?
29:41 — Good science focuses on what’s not yet known; but media often then latches on to these doubts, advertising what scientist don’t know and obscuring the science of what they do know.
30:48 — The SDI: Reagan's program against nuclear strikes through satellites. Was it a serious project? Was it a proposital rumor? Could it have started a nuclear war? How did the idea get so far when it had such opposition?
35:10 — Richard Feynman, Freeman Dyson, and their views on nuclear winter and global warming: two issues that were somehow conflated. Were the models being used accurate?
36:34 — Scientists often focus on areas of doubt, rather than what is already known. A topic largely discussed in the book is that scientists aren’t necessarily good at understanding public policy, media, or how to get their ideas across to the public and vice-versa.
38:06 — CFCs. Once again, many factors contributed to the damage to the ozone layer, but all were given equal weight when certain factors were much more damaging than others. The same was done regarding skin cancers, where many other factors were pointed out that were true, but not as relevant. This seems to be a common tactic to detract from central issues.
43:58 — Second-handed smoking and e-cigarettes: are they as dangerous as regular cigarettes? What of second-hand damages that come with alcohol, like drunk driving? Should alcohol and driving be more strictly regulated?
51:05 — The companies knew what they were doing: memos from tobacco companies show their strategy of trying to keep the doubt on whether or not cigarettes were bad for your health. The ethical dilemma around working for such companies.
54:46 — School’s approach to drug education: are abstinence arguments really effective, or are them increasing drug use? Alternative methods for decreasing drug use and its harmful effects.
01:00:45 — Global Warming is still very much a current issue. What arguments that are in vogue today could be misinformation? It can be difficult to find a balance between suspecting statements that challenge the current scientific consensus, and not completely shutting them down.
01:05:00 — The book has a critical stance on Capitalism and Technology. “Technology won’t save us”. However, it is possible to join business and sustainability.
01:09:30 — The book has a certain one-sided point of view, which can be true for most of the topics discussed, but can also be a dangerous attitude. Radical changes are also much more difficult to execute, such as suddenly switching entirely away from fossil fuels.
01:12:24 — Alternatives to developing without fossil fuels. What about nuclear power? Could that be a solid green alternative? Can solar power progress as fast as our technological needs?
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