China’s Relations with Latin America: A Conversation with Dr. Ryan Berg
Dec 5, 2024
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In this conversation, Dr. Ryan Berg, the Director of the Americas Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, shares insights on China's burgeoning influence in Latin America. He discusses how China views the region as crucial for its economic ambitions, particularly through the Belt and Road Initiative. Dr. Berg highlights the contrasting approaches between U.S. strategic neglect and China's proactive engagement. He also examines public perceptions of China post-COVID and Xi Jinping's recent trip, marking a new era of competitive dynamics in Latin American partnerships.
China's strategic investment in Latin America through infrastructure projects is reshaping the region's economic landscape, competing effectively with U.S. influence.
Despite historical ties with the U.S., Latin American countries are increasingly attracted to China's rapid investment capabilities and tangible developmental benefits.
Deep dives
China's Growing Influence in Latin America
China has increasingly solidified its economic partnership with Latin America, leveraging its extensive natural resources, especially in energy production and commodities vital for global supply chains. With its focus on green energy and essential minerals, Latin America stands to play a key role in the global energy transition while also contributing to food security through major agricultural producers like Brazil and Argentina. The relationship is exemplified by China's Belt and Road Initiative, which has seen participation from numerous Latin American countries seeking investment in infrastructure and development. However, there is an ongoing debate about the depth of China's commitment and how regional countries navigate their diplomatic and economic alignment amid rising global tensions.
U.S. Strategic Neglect in Latin America
Despite its historical ties and substantial cultural connections, the U.S. has practiced strategic neglect in Latin America, allowing China to gain influence and reshape the region's foreign policy orientation. The perception is that the U.S. primarily addresses Latin America with a 'negative agenda,' focusing on issues like crime and drug trafficking, rather than promoting a positive vision for regional development. This neglect has positioned China as a more attractive partner due to its rapid investment capabilities and tangible deliverables in infrastructure, often overshadowing U.S. security support. As a result, countries in the region express a desire for more robust economic relationships and partnerships that address their developmental needs directly.
Comparing U.S. and Chinese Engagement Strategies
While the U.S. remains the preferred security partner in many Latin American countries, China's economic engagements through massive infrastructure projects present more immediate benefits and visibility to regional leaders. Chinese projects are often perceived as solutions to long-standing infrastructure gaps, offering quick capital deployment and significant development impact. In contrast, U.S. assistance is often seen as slow to materialize and less aligned with the immediate economic ambitions of Latin American countries. The stark contrast in perceptions of effectiveness between U.S. security cooperation and Chinese investment only exacerbates the challenge for the U.S. to maintain its influence in the region.
Future Challenges in U.S.-Latin America Relations
The growing reliance of Latin American countries on Chinese investments raises concerns over potential long-term shifts in regional alignments, particularly as China continues to offer economic alternatives that the U.S. struggles to match. There is recognition among Latin American policymakers of the need for diversification of partnerships beyond just China and the U.S., with an interest in engaging other global players. As China's economic growth faces challenges, the region's ability to balance its relationships and not become overly dependent on any single partner will be crucial. The U.S. must formulate a more coherent and attractive strategy to re-engage with Latin America, emphasizing cooperation and mutual benefits to revitalize its footing in an increasingly competitive landscape.
In this episode of the ChinaPower Podcast, Dr. Ryan Berg joins us to discuss China’s relations with Latin America. Dr. Berg discusses both Chinese and U.S. interests in the region, emphasizing that while the U.S. has tended to approach the region with “strategic neglect,” China seems to view Latin America as highly important in terms of both its strategic and economic goals. Dr. Berg explains his view that President Xi is personally invested in the region and believes it holds high economic complementarity to the Chinese economy, specifically in relation to China’s Belt and Road Imitative (BRI). Dr. Berg notes that although the U.S. is still the preferred security partner among Latin American countries, China is becoming more competitive in this space and is viewed among many countries as providing more opportunities, specifically in the economic realm. Dr. Berg also discusses the public opinion of China in Latin America, noting that China’s image has not fully recovered since its decline during COVID-19, and describes the U.S. efforts to not only warn Latin American countries of the risks of investment and economic deals with China but also the US attempt to compete with China as the preferred economic partner. Dr. Berg provides insights on President Xi’s most recent trip to the region for the APEC Leader’s Summit, specifically discussing his inauguration of a new massive port in Peru, and other ways Xi seemed to overshadow President Biden. Finally, Dr. Berg discusses some of the concerns surrounding China’s growing presence in the region and suggestions for U.S. policymakers.
Dr. Ryan C. Berg is director of the Americas Program and head of the Future of Venezuela Initiative at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. He is also an adjunct professor at the Catholic University of America and a course coordinator at the United States Foreign Service Institute. His research focuses on U.S.-Latin America relations, strategic competition and defense policy, authoritarian regimes, armed conflict and transnational organized crime, and trade and development issues. Previously, Dr. Berg was a research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute, where he helped lead its Latin America Studies Program, as well as visiting research fellow at the University of Oxford’s Changing Character of War Programme. Dr. Berg was a Fulbright scholar in Brazil and is a Council on Foreign Relations Term Member.
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