Bain Sees Big CLO Opportunity; WeightWatchers' Survival
Feb 1, 2024
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The podcast discusses the potential in collateralized loan obligations, robust growth in India and Australia, and private credit for buyouts. Analysis of WeightWatchers' struggling bonds and hopes for survival despite challenges in the market.
CLOs offer strong investment potential despite increasing default rates, with India and Australia showing growth opportunities.
WeightWatchers is restructuring to focus on healthcare offerings like GLP-1 treatments to survive financial challenges.
Deep dives
Credit Markets Trends and Outlook
Credit markets are tight with high demand, record issuance levels, and debates about future Fed rate cuts. Valuations are viewed as fair with loan market refinancing activities. Default rates are expected to stay in a manageable range.
CLOs and Leveraged Loan Market
CLOs are closely linked to the loan market, with a rationalization of CLL liabilities. The market sees significant reprisings in the loan market, leading to fair valuations and potential new supply of loans.
Private Credit and Market Dynamics
Private credit markets are evolving globally, with growth opportunities in Asia and various industry sectors. The private credit sector is expected to continue expanding, with a focus on middle market investments and differentiating by scale.
Weight Watchers' Financial Challenges
Weight Watchers is facing financial challenges with a pivot in their business model to focus on healthcare offerings like GLP-1 treatments. The company's bond prices have decreased, reflecting concerns about new business initiatives and existing customer base retention. Recovery and growth depend on the success of their new strategies.
Collateralized loan obligations are among the best debt investment opportunities for this year, according to John Wright, global head of credit at Bain Capital. Spreads on the structured investment vehicles, which repackage leveraged loans into bonds of varying risk, may tighten further, even as default rates rise, Wright tells Bloomberg News’ Lisa Lee and James Crombie and Bloomberg Intelligence’s Mike Holland in the latest Credit Edge podcast. He also sees robust potential for growth in India and Australia, as well as in private credit, especially for buyouts. Slim recovery rates in the loan market are among the biggest worries. Also in this episode, BI’s Holland analyzes the outlook for WeightWatchers, whose bonds are dropping. The company faces a tough road ahead but there is a path to survival, Holland says.