Rational Security: The “No Taxation Without Sledding Representation” Edition
Jan 8, 2025
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This week dives into the chaotic early days of the 119th Congress, highlighting tensions within the Republican Party and the influence of figures like Trump and Musk. It also examines the lasting impacts of the January 6 insurrection and its implications for future elections. The discussion shifts to suspicious damage to undersea cables, linking geopolitical tensions with international law challenges. Lastly, it touches on year-end traditions, featured with a unique cocktail recipe, adding a personal touch to the political discourse.
The podcast highlights significant tensions within the Republican majority in Congress, driven by pressures from former President Trump and internal party conflicts.
Recent peaceful commemorations of January 6th signal a shift in American democracy, with new reforms like the Electoral Count Reform Act in effect.
Damage to undersea telecommunications cables by foreign vessels underscores growing international security concerns and the need for cooperative responses.
Deep dives
The Impact of Winter Weather on Family Life
The discussions highlight the challenges faced by parents managing family activities during winter weather, particularly snowstorms. One participant shares her experience handling children at home amid adverse weather conditions, expressing concerns about the impact of additional snow days on her sanity. The conversation explores the typical winter activities for children, such as sledding, while also noting the difficulties posed by harsh cold and wind. The emphasis is placed on the role of winter weather in shaping family dynamics and outdoor play opportunities.
Political Tensions in the New Congress
As the 119th Congress commences, there are observable tensions within the Republican majority. The House Republicans face pressure from former President Trump and his advisor Elon Musk, leading to conflicts surrounding funding agreements. Speaker Mike Johnson narrowly retains his position amid the internal party struggles, signaling a fractious environment as the Congress begins. The political landscape suggests that the upcoming two years may be characterized by proactive negotiations and unexpected alliances as lawmakers navigate complex legislative priorities.
Reflections on the January 6th Commemoration
The narrative addresses the stark contrast between the recent January 6th commemoration and the events that transpired in 2021. This year witnessed a peaceful certification of electoral votes, which marks a departure from the violent insurrection witnessed four years prior. The adjustments made within Congress, such as the Electoral Count Reform Act, aimed to mitigate the chaos experienced during the former events. The discussion reflects on the implications this transition has for American democracy and how these changes shape ongoing political proceedings.
Emerging Concerns Over Undersea Cable Incidents
Recent incidents involving damaged undersea telecommunications cables have raised significant international concerns regarding security and geopolitical tensions. In Finland, a suspected Russian vessel was detained following damage to a cable, highlighting the growing attention on maritime security. The discussions revealed that unlike typical accidents, these incidents are perceived as potential deliberate acts that jeopardize communication infrastructure. Analysts emphasize the importance of robust investigation and international cooperation to address these emerging threats effectively.
Integration of Domestic and International Law for Maritime Security
The podcast explores how countries, particularly Finland, are beginning to assert more control over maritime incidents involving undersea cables. The complexities of jurisdiction arise when national waters and international shipping intersect, leading to legal questions about the extent of a nation's authority. Finland's proactive legal measures signal a trend towards stronger national responses to maritime threats, prompting a discussion about collective international efforts. As nations seek to protect critical infrastructure, the evolving landscape of maritime law may adapt to better address the challenges posed by contemporary geopolitical realities.
This week, Scott sat down with his Lawfare colleagues Molly Reynolds and Kevin Frazier to discuss the week’s big national security news, including:
“Mike Drop (Almost).” While we are still two weeks away from having a new president, the 119th Congress is already underway. But there are signs of tension in the Republican majority controlling both chambers, with House Republicans (under pressure from former President Trump and adviser Elon Musk) having killed a leadership-negotiated compromise funding bill at the end of the last Congress and Speaker Mike Johnson just barely securing reelection by a single vote after some last minute wrangling within the Republican caucus. What do these recent events tell us about what we should expect over the next year?
“Will Be Mild.” The Jan. 6 that passed earlier this week went very differently than the one four years ago, with Congress peacefully recognizing former President Trump’s election back to the White House. How are the legacies of the Jan. 6 insurrection of 2021 winding to a close in 2025? And which seem likely to persist?
“Missed Connections.” Finland received an unwelcome Christmas present this year, after a major undersea telecommunications cable was damaged by the anchor of a suspected Russian shadow ship, in an act some believe was deliberate. And Taiwan rang in the New Year in similar fashion, with a major undersea cable getting damaged by a China-associated vessel. What is behind this set of attacks? And what tools do the affected states have to defend themselves?
In object lessons, Molly shared an excellent holiday tradition to keep in your back pocket for next year and all the years to come: a family time capsule. Scott shared his newly perfected cocktail recipe, a concoction he is calling the Little Palermo™ (see below). And Kevin went a bit darker with his recommendation of “End Times,” by Peter Turchin.