12. Lessons from the winners and losers of the last five years
Aug 30, 2023
auto_awesome
In this podcast, they discuss the winners and losers of the investment landscape over the last five years. They delve into topics such as the Steinhoff case, the dynamics of supply and demand in the paper and packaging industry, and the concept of value traps in investing. They also explore the potential of a South African insurance company for expansion. Overall, they share enduring lessons that investors can glean from the not-so-distant past.
Having a consistent investment philosophy and process is crucial for long-term success in asset management.
Thorough research and analysis of company fundamentals are essential for making informed investment decisions.
Deep dives
Consistency, culture, and long-term outlook key for asset managers
According to Victor, having a consistent investment philosophy and process is crucial for long-term success in asset management. He highlights the importance of culture within the investment team, where robust debates and respectful arguments foster better decision-making. Furthermore, being privately owned allows for a contrarian investment approach, which can generate superior long-term returns. Victor believes that these three factors are essential for asset managers to withstand the test of time and deliver value to clients.
Analyzing winners and losers in investment portfolios
Jacques discusses the challenges and opportunities presented by winners and losers in investment portfolios. He reflects on the experience of the Steinhoff scandal, where the company's share price fell dramatically. Jacques emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough research and considering various factors when making investment decisions. Conversely, he also addresses the pain of holding shares that consistently underperform, using the example of property companies. Jacques mentions the significance of analyzing financial engineering, issuing shares, and starting valuations to make informed investment choices.
Unexpected turnarounds and defying imagination in investments
The discussion turns to the concept of unexpected turnarounds and defying imagination in investments. Peter mentions companies like Rishmont and Capitec, which have defied expectations with their earnings growth. He underscores the importance of carefully analyzing company fundamentals, debt levels, and operational performance. The unpredictability of markets and the need for a long-term view are highlighted. The podcast also explores situations where shares fall significantly, referred to as catching falling knives. An emphasis is placed on intrinsic value, which helps determine the right time to buy or avoid such shares.
Looking ahead to potential winners in the market
As the podcast concludes, the focus shifts to potential winners in the market. Shares like British American Tobacco and MultiChoice are discussed as potential opportunities. The importance of low starting valuations, operational and financial leverage, and blue-sky potential are highlighted. The conversation also touches on Outurance's growth prospects in international markets. While acknowledging the risks and uncertainties, the participants present their views on shares with potential for growth and success in the coming years.
Over the last five years, deteriorating domestic conditions and rapidly developing global trends have seen some well-known stocks, and even entire industries and markets, fall in and out of favour. From Ramaphoria and the COVID-19 pandemic, to the collapse of Steinhoff and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, investors have been tasked with figuring out who the winners might be in a very complex environment. In conversation with investment analyst Siphesihle Zwane, portfolio manager Jacques Plaut and investment analyst Pieter Koornhof discuss some of the notable winners and losers of the last five years. With the benefit of hindsight, they share some enduring lessons that investors can glean from the not-so-distant past and explain how we apply our investment approach in the current environment. Capitec: The way to build a bank · Four contrarian investment questions to ask in 2023
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode