Macro Mondays Geopolitics Driving Markets Again
30 snips
Jun 17, 2025 Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold delve into the geopolitical events shaping market volatility. They discuss the escalating tensions between Israel and Iran, and the historical context that informs investor strategies. The urgency for negotiations amid Iran's vulnerabilities is highlighted, alongside the implications for global oil markets. The duo also analyzes the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting, tying inflation trends and labor dynamics to economic outcomes. Plus, there's speculation on candidates for the Fed chairmanship and their ties to Trump.
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Classic Crisis Trading Anecdote
- Mike Epstein's crisis trading story helps illustrate managing geopolitical risk.
- Buy stocks during crises; if worst occurs, contracts likely won't matter anyway.
Iran's Regime Under Pressure
- Iran's regime is struggling due to inability to defend the country against attacks.
- This weakness pressures Iran toward negotiating with Israel and the US to ensure basic security.
Watch Strait of Hormuz Shipping
- Monitor shipping activity in the Strait of Hormuz for potential disruptions.
- Be aware that rising freight rates could increase global energy prices and inflation risk.