The Commentary Magazine Podcast Israel on the Cusp
23 snips
Oct 6, 2025 
Jonathan Schanzer, a Senior Fellow and expert on Middle East security, joins the discussion to unpack Israeli strategies during the Gaza conflict. He analyzes the recent strike in Doha, highlighting regional reactions and Qatar's shifting stance on Hamas. The conversation dives into the complexities of hostage negotiations and the future of Hamas, debating potential outcomes from exile to active resistance. Schanzer also critiques international restraints on Israel's military actions while reflecting on the broader implications for Israeli politics and security.
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Doha Strike Shifted Regional Calculus
- The September 9 strike on Hamas in Doha had tangible effects beyond killing key figures and shocking Gulf states.
- That attack pressured Qatar and regional actors to take the war's risks more seriously and opened leverage for negotiations.
Trilateral Mechanism Adds Leverage
- The new trilateral mechanism (Israel–US–Qatar) gives Israel formal leverage to pressure Qatar on Hamas and media behavior.
- Security guarantees to Qatar may be generous, but the mechanism creates diplomatic accountability.
Three Possible Futures For Hamas
- Hamas faces multiple possible futures: exile and rebuilding, a last-stand 'blaze of glory', or negotiated dismantling under regional pressure.
- Regional actors' consensus and US pressure could force Hamas into decline even if uncertainty remains.