20Growth: Why Product-Market Fit is Not Enough, Revenue Does Not Create Usage, Metrics Must Be Before Strategy, Why it is Always Better to Concentrate than Diversify Marketing Channels and Secrets from Hubspot's Growth Engine with Brian Balfour @ Reforge
Aug 16, 2023
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Brian Balfour, Founder and CEO of Reforge and former VP of Growth at HubSpot, shares insights on growth strategies. He emphasizes that product-market fit is just the starting line, not the finish. Avoiding common pitfalls in product channel and channel model fit is crucial for success. Balfour discusses the importance of hiring growth personnel early and focusing on one effective growth channel. He also shares lessons from his time at HubSpot and how AI is reshaping growth strategies, proving that qualitative analysis remains indispensable.
To have effective growth metrics, understand the qualitative foundations of the product and align metrics with the core problem being solved.
Achieving growth requires compatibility between the product and the distribution channel, including content creation and pricing model alignment.
Metrics should be seen as a means to evaluate the effectiveness of a chosen strategy, with usage metrics like retention defining success.
While AI may automate certain analyses, understanding the qualitative aspects of growth, psychological levers, and core principles remain critical.
Deep dives
Importance of understanding qualitative underpinnings
To have effective growth metrics, it is crucial to understand the qualitative foundations of the product. Metrics should be aligned with the core problem being solved, the frequency of occurrence of that problem in the target market, and the behavior that indicates problem-solving. This qualitative understanding serves as the basis for selecting appropriate metrics and tracking usage before revenue.
Product channel fit and channel model fit
Achieving growth requires compatibility between the product and the distribution channel. The product should mold to fit the rules and requirements of the channel, such as content creation for SEO-driven growth. Additionally, the pricing model needs to align with the chosen channel to optimize friction and economics. Understanding these fits lays the groundwork for effective growth strategies.
Metrics misconceptions and capturing the right data
Misunderstandings around metrics often stem from prioritizing metrics before strategy and focusing on revenue metrics over usage metrics. Metrics should be seen as a means to evaluate the effectiveness of a chosen strategy rather than determining the strategy itself. Usage metrics, such as retention, should be defined qualitatively based on the problem, natural frequency, and desired user behavior. Revenue follows usage and requires a comprehensive understanding of the growth system.
AI's impact on growth teams
While AI will bring changes to tactics and systems, it won't replace the qualitative aspects of growth. AI can automate certain analyses and provide insights, but understanding the underpinnings of a product, the psychological levers, and the core growth principles remain critical. AI may introduce new distribution channels and arbitrage opportunities, injecting valuable chaos into the growth landscape.
Learning from mistakes
Lessons learned from growth mistakes emphasize the importance of creation, not just thinking, to uncover solutions. One mistake involved pursuing virality without considering the core target market, leading to a disconnect between the product and the business. Another mistake was the transition to a subscription model without anticipating the need for features driving recurring usage. The anecdotes highlight the need to avoid being misled by metrics and to anticipate saturation points in growth.
A humorous growth hack gone wrong
In the early days of the Facebook platform, a virtual gifting app utilized a growth hack that automatically messaged a user's friends and sent them virtual gifts. While initially successful, the spammy nature of the hack and the indiscriminate friend selection eventually led to server overload and confusion among recipients. This experience served as a lesson in ethical growth hacking and the consequences of not considering the potential negative outcomes.
Focus on Fueling the Core
Rather than diversifying attention and resources across various channels, it is advised to focus on fueling the core aspect of a venture-scale company that is already working well. This contrarian approach contradicts the common advice of diversification and emphasizes the need to concentrate limited capital, talent, and attention on accelerating the growth of the core system. However, it is also crucial to anticipate when the core system might start running out of fuel to avoid being caught unprepared and ensure a smooth transition to finding the next growth mechanism.
Predicting Channel Saturation and Finding New Growth
Predicting when a channel is starting to decline in its effectiveness and growth is an ongoing challenge for companies. The tendency is often to underestimate the time it takes for saturation to occur, leading to missed opportunities for innovation and unlocking new pools of growth. HubSpot's strategic approach highlights the importance of looking into the future and working backward to anticipate what needs to be true for sustained growth. This exercise involves considering growth constraints, managing complexity, and actively seeking out new products or channels that can be integrated into the core system to maintain growth momentum.
Brian Balfour is the Founder and CEO of Reforge. Previously, he was the VP of Growth @ HubSpot. Prior to HubSpot, he was an EIR @ Trinity Ventures and founder of Boundless Learning and Viximo. He advises companies including Blue Bottle Coffee, Gametime, Lumoid, GrabCAD, and Help Scout on growth and customer acquisition.
In Today's Episode with Brian Balfour We Discuss:
1. Entry into Growth and Lessons from Hubspot:
How did Brian make his entry into the world of growth?
What does Brian know now about growth that he wishes he had known when he started in growth?
What are 1-2 of his single biggest takeaways from his time at Hubspot that impacted his mindset?
2. The Foundations:
What is growth? What is it not?
What does Brian mean when he says "all growth can be boiled down to 4 things"?
When is the right time to bring in your first growth person?
Should the first growth person be senior or junior?
Should the growth team be standalone or sit within an existing function?
3. The Importance of Product Channel Fit:
What is product channel fit? How should founders approach it?
How do you know when you have it?
What are the single biggest mistakes founders make with regards to PCF?
4. Next Comes Channel Model Fit:
What is channel model fit? How should founders approach it?
What are clear indicators that you have or do not have channel model fit?
What are the biggest mistakes founders make with CMF?
5. Finally, Model Market Fit:
What is model market fit? How should founders approach it?
What are clear indicators that you have or do not have model market fit?
What are the biggest mistakes founders make with MMF?
6. Brian Balfour: AMA:
Why is product market fit not enough?
What does Brian mean when he says "revenue does not create usage"?
What are the biggest dangers of mixing customers and users?
What do Hubspot do better than anyone else to know when an existing product/strategy is dying?
Is it always better to diversify marketing channels?
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