RJ Bell's Dream Preview CBB Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !!
Jan 22, 2025
36:34
Griffin Warner and Big East Ben talk college basketball Wednesday betting. The guys have been picking up steam in the recent weeks and give out more best bets.
Key Game Analyses and Insights
Texas A&M vs. Ole Miss (Timestamp: 3:17 - 7:08)- Host Analysis:
- Big East Ben supports Texas A&M, citing Wade Taylor's return, their strong road defense, and offensive rebounding. Ole Miss's vulnerability to physical play and struggles against teams like Memphis and Mississippi State were highlighted.
- Warner counters, emphasizing Ole Miss's defensive strategy under Chris Beard to prevent interior scoring. Warner is skeptical of Texas A&M's reliance on offensive rebounds and leans toward Ole Miss, depending on the spread.
- Key Stats:
- Texas A&M ranks 1st in offensive rebounding and 21st in free throw attempts.
- Ole Miss has struggled, ranked 266th in fouls and 162nd in defensive rebounding.
- Host Analysis:
- Kansas is noted for its methodical defense and strong home performances. The hosts doubt TCU's ability to keep up offensively, given their injury-depleted lineup and lack of consistent scoring options.
- Both hosts predict a low-scoring game, recommending a bet on the under (136 points).
- Key Stats:
- Kansas unders are 15-2 this season; TCU unders are 11-6.
- TCU ranks 229th in tempo this season, showing a shift to slower play.
- Host Analysis:
- Xavier's inconsistency on defense and reliance on late-game recoveries were criticized.
- St. John's strong offensive rebounding is seen as a decisive advantage, highlighted by their previous 47% offensive rebounding rate against Xavier.
- Key Stats:
- Xavier is 203rd in turnover rate defense.
- St. John's shot 22% from three in their last encounter but relied on second-chance points.
- Host Analysis:
- Utah State's home-court advantage and efficiency in two-point shooting were emphasized. Nevada's height and defense were recognized, but their lack of three-point attempts despite strong shooting percentages was criticized.
- Key Stats:
- Utah State ranks 17th in two-point shooting.
- Nevada is the 4th tallest team nationally and ranks 15th in three-point shooting but 252nd in attempts.
- Host Analysis:
- Arkansas is favored to win due to Georgia’s poor ball control and Arkansas’s ability to capitalize on turnovers and execute in transition.
- Both hosts predict Arkansas will cover the -2.5-point spread.
Conclusion
This episode provides comprehensive insights into the college basketball slate, emphasizing team strengths, weaknesses, and betting implications. The hosts favor Ole Miss, Kansas under, Utah State, and Arkansas to perform well against their respective spreads or totals. Xavier's inconsistency against St. John's offensive rebounding is noted as a potential game-changer.
Key Points from Podcast (In Order of Timestamp)
- 🎤 Speaker Warner (0:15): Sets the stage for the podcast, mentioning a new twice-weekly format and noting the hosts' commitment to covering the college basketball season comprehensively.
- 📈 Texas A&M Strengths: Wade Taylor's leadership, offensive rebounding, and resilience on the road.
- 🛡️ Kansas Defense: Dominant all season, allowing few points and controlling the pace.
- 🔄 St. John’s Strategy: Exploiting Xavier’s weak defensive rebounding with second-chance opportunities.
- 🏡 Utah State’s Home Dominance: Benefiting from a strong environment and efficient two-point offense.
- 🔄 Georgia Turnovers: Identified as the Achilles’ heel, giving Arkansas ample fast-break opportunities.
- 💡 Betting Insights: Hosts emphasize under bets for Kansas-TCU and suggest spreads for Ole Miss and Arkansas as top plays.
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