
The Trivium China Podcast Ep 53 - Financial regulators start 2026 with a bang + Beijing’s view on the Meta-Manus deal
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Jan 24, 2026 Dinny McMahon, Head of Markets Research who explains China’s macro and financial policy moves, and Linghao Bao, lead AI and semiconductor analyst who covers Chinese AI startups. They discuss Beijing’s blitz of market and credit measures to manage a slow‑growth rebound. Then they explore Chinese regulatory scrutiny of Meta’s Manus deal, the tools Beijing can use, and what it signals for AI startups.
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Beijing Signals A Managed Slow Bull Market
- China aims to engineer a "slow bull" stock market while preventing fast bubble-like run-ups.
- Regulators signaled this by raising margin requirements to curb too-rapid appreciation.
Targeted Credit Over Broad Rate Cuts
- The PBOC expanded targeted relending quotas and cut rates on structural tools instead of broad rate cuts.
- That preserves bank net interest margins while lowering funding costs for priority sectors.
Fiscal Tools Backstop Private Investment
- Fiscal subsidies and guarantees pair with PBOC measures to nudge private investment.
- Guarantees aim to convince banks the private sector is a viable credit risk.
