Mindset Neuroscience Podcast Your brain doesn’t do reality – it does probability: And this is how we update the code.
Dec 30, 2025
Dr. Nicholas Wright, a neuroscientist and former neurologist giving insights on decision-making and security, explores how our brains create models based on sensory input and past experiences. He discusses the importance of metacognition for better judgment, contrasting cleverness with wisdom. Wright emphasizes the value of diverse perspectives in correcting biases and enhancing understanding. He encourages practices like reflection and seeking critique to strengthen our decision-making and creativity, ultimately advocating for optimism rooted in self-awareness.
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RAF: Reality, Anticipation, Flexibility
- The RAF framework ties three capacities: reality, anticipation, and flexibility for wiser action.
- These capacities apply from intimate relationships to grand strategy as ways to navigate uncertainty.
Brains Run Layered Predictive Models
- Brains are orchestras of layered models that predict sensations and guide actions.
- We perceive the brain's predictions, not raw reality, and can model others and ourselves for complex behavior.
Adopt A Third-Person Perspective
- Take a third-person perspective to challenge fluency-driven overconfidence.
- Invite critique and dissent to expose blind spots and reduce echo chambers.
