Iran Israel War: What if the U.S. Enters In, How Will it Change the Middle East? Lt Col Daniel Davis

In a recent discussion, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu stated that the U.S. is already heavily involved in aiding Israel during its conflict with Iran—though not offensively, yet. The U.S. is contributing through missile defense systems (like Patriot and Aegis), ships offshore, and even pilots assisting in intercepting Iranian drones and missiles.

Commodore Steve Jeremy, a UK Royal Navy veteran, explained that this support is significant but still defensive. He warned that if the U.S. were to shift to offensive operations, Iran would likely retaliate directly against American forces, escalating the conflict dramatically.

Key takeaways:

U.S. Support: Currently focused on defensive roles—air defenses, ammunition, intelligence, and interceptors—but not conducting offensive strikes.

Potential Escalation: If the U.S. crosses into offensive action, Iran may consider all bets off and retaliate broadly.

Israel’s Vulnerability: Despite having advanced systems like Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and U.S. support, Israeli defenses are porous—missiles still get through.

Iran’s Strategy: Likely using older, less effective missiles to exhaust Israeli and U.S. interceptor stockpiles before deploying more advanced weapons.

Defense Fatigue: The West’s air defense systems, including ship-based Aegis, are limited by the number of interceptors. Sustained barrages could overwhelm them quickly.

Resource War: The confrontation may come down to which side runs out of missile supply first—Israel's interceptors or Iran's offensive weapons.

The situation is precarious, and though the U.S. hasn’t fully entered offensively, its deepening involvement brings the region closer to broader war.

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