BJJ Mental Models Mini Ep. 64: Resulting
Jul 24, 2025
This mini-discussion dives into the intriguing logical fallacy of 'resulting,' where outcomes distort our understanding of decision-making quality. It highlights how a champion's random victory illustrates the risks of misjudging success based solely on results. The podcast also offers a free mini-course on a unique straight ankle lock variant, aimed at enhancing grappling techniques against tough opponents. Self-assessment and recognizing external influences are key themes, encouraging listeners to rethink their approach to skill and success.
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Episode notes
Ninja Wins UFC by Chance
- Steve Jenim, a ninja and tournament alternate with no official record, won UFC 3 due to others' injuries and luck.
- This shows a case where poor decisions still led to a successful result by chance.
Results Don't Equal Decision Quality
- Good decision-making doesn't always lead to winning, and bad decisions can occasionally lead to victory.
- Chance plays a significant role in competition outcomes, so evaluating purely on results is misleading.
Compete Often for True Feedback
- Don't judge your jiu-jitsu quality solely on single competition wins or losses.
- Compete frequently to average out chance and gain more accurate performance feedback.
